taw comments on Efficient Charity - Less Wrong

31 Post author: multifoliaterose 04 December 2010 10:27AM

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Comment author: taw 05 December 2010 11:48:07AM *  5 points [-]

Unlike between botched decolonization and about 1995, Africa has been doing really well for the last 15 years (except for AIDS epidemics), precisely once the West and Soviets stopped their attempts at recolonizing by proxy.

Not China levels of well, but really well.

The  conventional  wisdom  that  Africa  is  not  reducing  poverty  is  wrong.  Using  the methodology of Pinkovskiy and Sala‐iMartin (2009), we estimate income distributions, poverty rates,  and  inequality  and  welfare  indices  for  African  countries  for  the  period  1970‐2006. We show that:

  • (1) African poverty is falling and is falling rapidly.
  • (2) If present trends continue, the poverty  Millennium  Development  Goal  of  halving  the  proportion  of  people  with  incomes  less than  one  dollar  a  day  will  be  achieved  on  time.
  • (3)  The  growth  spurt  that  began  in  1995 decreased  African  income  inequality  instead  of  increasing  it.
  • (4)  African  poverty  reduction  is remarkably  general:  it  cannot  be  explained  by  a  large  country,  or  even  by  a  single  set  of countries  possessing  some  beneficial  geographical  or  historical  characteristic.  All  classes  of countries,  including  those  with  disadvantageous  geography  and  history,  experience  reductions in  poverty. In  particular,  poverty  fell  for  both  landlocked  as  well  as coastal countries; for mineral‐rich as well as mineral‐poor countries; for countries with favorable or with unfavorable agriculture;  for countries regardless of colonial origin; and for countries with below‐ or above-median slave exports per capita during the African slave trade