FormallyknownasRoko comments on Best career models for doing research? - Less Wrong

27 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 07 December 2010 04:25PM

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Comment author: FormallyknownasRoko 09 December 2010 10:47:42PM 2 points [-]

But you think that it is not a good thing for this to propagate more?

Comment author: Vladimir_Nesov 09 December 2010 10:51:38PM *  3 points [-]

As a decision on expected utility under logical uncertainty, but extremely low confidence, yes. I can argue that it most certainly won't be a bad thing (which I even attempted in comments to the post itself, my bad), the expectation of it being a bad thing derives from remaining possibility of those arguments failing. As Carl said, "that estimate is unstable in the face of new info" (which refers to his own argument, not necessarily mine).