Manfred comments on A Thought on Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong
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Comments (159)
Even producing a black hole per year is doubtful under our current best guesses, but if one of a few extra-dimension TOEs are right (possible) we could produce them. So there's sort of no "typical" black hole produced by the LHC.
But you're right, you could make a low-momentum black hole with some probability if the numbers worked out. I don't know how to calculate what the rate would be, though - it would probably involve gory details of the particular TOE. 1 per year doesn't sound crazy, though, if they're possible.