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XiXiDu comments on A Thought on Pascal's Mugging - Less Wrong
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Yvain: [...] "What is the probability that the LHC will create a hamster in a tutu on top of Big Ben on noon at Christmas Day singing 'Greensleeves' while fighting a lightsaber duel with the ghost of Alexander the Great", then my probability would again be less than 3E22 (at least before I formed this thought - I don't know if having said it aloud makes the probability that malevolent aliens will enact it go above 1/3E22 or not).
komponisto: Thanks for the clarification; that's quite reasonable.
^Awesome :-)