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Jack comments on Karma Motivation Thread - Less Wrong
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Task: Publish a top-level, main-page post (Edit: Wow, by popular demand, the post will be on the Dutch Book argument) Deadline: December 20th
Deadline met
In the nick of time. No way I finish without this motivation, btw.
Edit: I'm -5 GMT which probably should have been specified beforehand. I've said my location before though.
Great job! I remembered this thread when I saw your post and came back here to reward you!
Nice work Jack. I'll enjoy reading it. It looks like you've researched it well too.
Do you have something specific in mind?
I've been trying to decide. I have a long list of ideas that I never get around to. Maybe I'll list the likely options and anyone who wants to can weigh in.
Metaethics- in particular a defense of a tolerant pluralism with regard to normative theories, perhaps an explanation/investigation into the is/ought distinction
Quantum mechanics- probably not what I'll do this week because it requires more research than other ideas, but I think we're overconfident in the Many World's interpretation and focusing on the wrong alternatives.
A summary/explanation of Quinean metaphysics and epistemology
The type-token distinction/ambiguity, perhaps going into it's relation to personal identity
An investigation into how mental concepts relate to complexity, by way of refuting Swinburne's Bayesian argument for theism
An explanation of the Dutch Book argument
Thats just the top of my list. As you may be able to tell from the way I've won my karma, I'm quite good with quick and dirty ideas but far less successful with post-length explanations. Hopefully I can get through a lot of these (and hopefully they actually end up being things people want to read).
I've always wanted to see a list of real-world Dutch booking examples. Something like "Dutch booking for Fun and Profit". I'd like to Dutchbook more people if possible. Like on InTrade.
I'm going to talk about its role in Bayesian epistemology, not so much doing it to people. But I'll definitely talk about some real-life examples. I'll use Intrade as one of the examples (unfortunately, you won't be able to make any money off it; Intrade's commissions are too high).
I'd love to see a Dutchbook post.