Johnicholas comments on Never Leave Your Room - Less Wrong

66 Post author: Yvain 18 March 2009 12:30AM

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Comment author: AnnaSalamon 18 March 2009 03:29:30AM *  15 points [-]

I'm interpreting priming as like random noise, since we don't know which direction it will move my estimate. Assuming my rational decision process is better than picking a result at random, adding random noise to it will on average lower its effectiveness.

If the decision's important enough to be worth some trouble, you could think about it in many different contexts, or perhaps with an intentionally varied set of primed stimuli, and seek a sort of sum over your impressions. This seems plausibly more reliable than either "avoid all outside influences" (and hope your uninfluenced decisions are best) or "expose yourself to particular random priming" (and hope that a randomly influenced decision is best or harmless). This is probably a stronger or more complex effect than "priming", but I know I often see usefully different things about an idea when I travel, or when I show it to someone else and suddenly imagine how it might look to them.

Comment author: Johnicholas 18 March 2009 11:35:00AM 4 points [-]

The average your guesses method, combined with this post on priming, suggests (as AnnaSolomon says), an "average your primed decisions" procedure.

Rather than "avoiding" your influences, seek out priming conditions, and write down your tentative decision in each case. Then average your decisions.

Comment author: JGWeissman 12 April 2009 05:51:14PM *  1 point [-]

It seems like an absurd strategy to me, to deliberately add random noise to your decision making process, and then try to filter that noise with an average. Maybe if the random priming approximates gathering evidence closely enough to compensate for the incompletely filtered noise, it could work. But if priming just causes you to irrationally add more weight to evidence you already considered, it is not helpful.

On the other hand, if random priming leads you to have an insight that you could analyze, that could help. Even then, you should wonder why your other strategies to achieve insights are Worse Than Random.