Will_Sawin comments on Confidence levels inside and outside an argument - Less Wrong

129 Post author: Yvain 16 December 2010 03:06AM

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Comment author: Will_Sawin 18 December 2010 05:59:57AM 0 points [-]

I don't think the other guy counts as a Bayesian.

That's definitely a good approximation of the organizational structure of the human mind of an imperfect Bayesian. You have a human consciousness simulating a Bayesian probability-computer, but the human contains heuristics powerful enough to, in some situations, overrule the Bayesian.

This has nothing to do with arguments, though.