shokwave comments on Confidence levels inside and outside an argument - Less Wrong
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I'd love to see someone like EY tackle the above comment.
On a side note, why do I get an error if I click on the username of the parent's author?
I'm actually planning on tackling it myself in the next two weeks or so. I think there might be a solution that has a deductive justification for inductive reasoning. EY has already tackled problems like this but his post seems to be a much stronger variant on Hume's "it is custom, and it works" - plus a distinction between self-reflective loops and circular loops. That distinction is how I currently rationalise ignoring the problem of induction in everyday life.
Also - I too do not know why I don't have an overview page.