Caspian comments on Confidence levels inside and outside an argument - Less Wrong

129 Post author: Yvain 16 December 2010 03:06AM

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Comment author: Jack 16 December 2010 06:13:08PM *  20 points [-]

This is totally testable. I'm going to download some raw quantum noise. If the first byte isn't FF I will say the magic word. I will then report back what the first byte was.

Update: the first byte was 1B

...

Abracadabra.

Still here.

Comment author: Caspian 19 December 2010 09:25:23AM 5 points [-]

Initially this was anthropic evidence for normality, until people would have had time to replicate the experiment. Suppose the word was that dangerous, and the first byte had been FF. By now, all the people replicating the experiment have destroyed those universes. Only the universes where the experiment failed to show FF on the first try are still around.

Comment author: Jack 19 December 2010 05:06:11PM *  3 points [-]

Which means we have to cut down on the worlds where FF didn't happen. Say it with me everyone.

Abracadabra, Abracadabra, Abracadabra, Abracadabra, Abracadabra, Abracadabra...

If everyone who reads this comments says the word say, thirty times, we should be good, right?