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Neo comments on Confidence levels inside and outside an argument - Less Wrong
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"This person believes he could make one statement about an issue as difficult as the origin of cellular life per Planck interval, every Planck interval from the Big Bang to the present day, and not be wrong even once" only brings us to 1/10^61 or so."
Wouldn't that be 1/ 2^(10^61) or am I missing something?