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nshepperd comments on Dutch Books and Decision Theory: An Introduction to a Long Conversation - Less Wrong
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Do you assign probability 1 to the proposition that 182547553 is prime? Right now, without doing an experiment on a calculator? (well, computer maybe. For most calculators testing this proposition would be somewhat tedious)
If yes, would you willing to pay me $10 if you ever found out it was not prime?
Conversely
Do you assign probability 0 to the proposition that 182547553 is prime? Right now, without doing an experiment on a calculator?
If yes, would you willing to pay me $10 if you ever found out it was prime?
EDIT: Actually, I suppose this counts as "doing it again", even though I'm not Peter de Blanc. I think that makes me a bad bad person.