AlephNeil comments on Dutch Books and Decision Theory: An Introduction to a Long Conversation - Less Wrong

19 Post author: Jack 21 December 2010 04:55AM

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Comment author: AlephNeil 21 December 2010 05:36:17PM 2 points [-]

Excellent - now you've explained what you mean by "Perfect Bayesian" it all makes sense! (Though I can't help thinking it would have saved time if you'd said this earlier.)

Still, I'm not keen on this redefinition of the word 'metaphysics', as though your philosophy of mathematics were 'obviously correct' 'received wisdom', when actually it's highly contentious.

Anyway, I think this is a successful attack on a kind of "Bayesian absolutism" which claims that beings who (explicitly or implicitly) assign consistent probabilities to all expressible events, and update their beliefs in the Bayesian manner, can actually exist. That may be a straw man, though.