HonoreDB comments on A fun estimation test, is it useful? - Less Wrong

5 Post author: mwengler 20 December 2010 09:09PM

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Comment author: HonoreDB 20 December 2010 09:50:09PM *  2 points [-]

It's an interesting phenomenon (and yes, my intervals were too small). I was actually expecting the reverse. His explanation reminds me of the conjunction fallacy--we overvalue specificity.

Total length of the coastline of the Pacific Ocean

Isn't this a classic example of a divergent series, though?

Comment author: datadataeverywhere 20 December 2010 10:52:32PM *  1 point [-]

Yes, but that doesn't mean we haven't decided on a uniform way to agree on a system that produces finite measurements.

Comment author: [deleted] 21 December 2010 12:47:56AM 0 points [-]

I interpreted it as "the length of the coastline as represented on a high-detail world map", which got me a good estimate.