bentarm comments on A fun estimation test, is it useful? - Less Wrong

5 Post author: mwengler 20 December 2010 09:09PM

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Comment author: bentarm 20 December 2010 11:02:47PM *  0 points [-]

8/10, and, as mentioned in the explanation on the second blog post, I did feel like I was giving ridiculously wide ranges for some of them, turns out I wasn't ridiculous enough - as one commenter points out, a more interesting exercise might be to do the same but with 50% ranges - then the simple solution of "make an estimate and put 3 orders of magnitude each side" doesn't help.

Also, the length of the coastline of the Pacific, which is one of the ones I got right is, as HonoreDB and several commentors on the blog post have pointed out, undefined - it depends what length ruler you use.