Irgy comments on Solve Psy-Kosh's non-anthropic problem - Less Wrong
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The devil is in the assumption that everyone else will do the same thing as you for presumably the same reasons. "Nay" is basically a better strategy in general, though it's not always right. The 90% odds of tails are correctly calculated.
So, nay is definately the better precommitment, and TDT would presumably tell you to say nay. But the argument that, as an individual, your expected returns are better saying "yea" once you know you are a decider is still perfectly valid.