handoflixue comments on Statistical Prediction Rules Out-Perform Expert Human Judgments - Less Wrong

68 Post author: lukeprog 18 January 2011 03:19AM

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Comment author: handoflixue 18 January 2011 08:26:23PM 4 points [-]

Which is better: Releasing a violent prisoner, or keeping a harmless one incarcerated? If you can find an answer that 90% of the population agrees on, then I think you've done better than every politician in history.

That people do NOT agree suggest to me that it's hardly a trivial question...

Comment author: handoflixue 18 January 2011 08:29:56PM 0 points [-]

(For reference, I realize an expert runs in to the same issue, I just think it's unfair to say that the issue is "easily solved")