wedrifid comments on Statistical Prediction Rules Out-Perform Expert Human Judgments - Less Wrong
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I have two concerns about the practical implementation of this sort of thing:
If X+Y predicts Z does that mean enhancing X and Y will up the probability of Z? Not necessarily, consider the example of happy marriages. Will having more sex make your relationship happier? Or does the rule work because happy couples tend to have more sex?
Of course neither of these problems mean that there won't be perfectly good cases where these rules would improve decision making a lot.
Yes. Almost certainly. But there are plenty of other examples you could pick from where there is not causality involved (and some for which causality is negative).