DanielLC comments on Statistical Prediction Rules Out-Perform Expert Human Judgments - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (195)
The post mentions the experts using the results of the SPR. What happens if you reverse it, and give the SPR the prediction of the expert?
That's called a 'bootstrapped' SPR. It's one way of building an SPR. And yes, in many cases the SPR ends up being reliably better than the expert judgments that were used to build it.
I was wondering more how much better it is than a normal SPR. Also, I wonder what weight it would give to the expert.