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Plasmon comments on Tallinn-Evans $125,000 Singularity Challenge - Less Wrong
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My donations are as effective as possible, I have never before donated anything to any organisation (except indirectly, via tax money).
I am too cautious to risk "black-swan events". I am probably overly cautious.
It could well be argued that donating more would be more cautious, depending on the probability of both black-swan events and UFAI, and the effectiveness of SIAI, but I'm sure there are plenty of threads about that already.