David_Gerard comments on Tallinn-Evans $125,000 Singularity Challenge - Less Wrong
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Yes, but here you're using your data to support the hypothesis you've formed.
If I believe X and you ask me why I believe X, surely I will respond by providing you with the evidence that caused me to believe X?
External reality is not changed by the temporal location of hypothesis formation.
No, but when hypotheses are formed is relevant to evaluating their likelyhood given standard human cognitive biases.