timtyler comments on Tallinn-Evans $125,000 Singularity Challenge - Less Wrong

27 Post author: Kaj_Sotala 26 December 2010 11:21AM

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Comment author: timtyler 29 December 2010 06:56:41PM *  -2 points [-]

If you absolutely insist on an outside estimate for purposes of discussion, 6 weeks should probably be a decent estimate.

Six weeks - from when? Machine intelligence has been on the rise since the 1950s. Already it exceeds human capabilities in many domains. When is the clock supposed to start ticking? When is it supposed to stop ticking? What is supposed to have happened in the middle?

Comment author: shokwave 29 December 2010 06:59:32PM 4 points [-]

Machine intelligence has been on the rise since the 1950s. Already it exceeds human capabilities in many domains.

There is a common and well-known distinction between what you mean by 'machine intelligence' and what is meant by 'AGI'. Deep Blue is a chess AI. It plays chess. It can't plan a stock portfolio because it is narrow. Humans can play chess and plan stock portfolios, because they have general intelligence. Artificial general intelligence, not 'machine intelligence', is under discussion here.