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JoshuaZ comments on Certainty estimates in areas outside one's expertise - Less Wrong
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That's a valid point. My own area is algebraic number theory but I have some interest in complexity theory, probably more interest than most number theorists and some of my work has certainly touched on complexity issues. I'm not at all agnostic about P=NP; I assign about a 95% chance that P !=NP, I think that is outside the "agnostic" zone by most standards.