HalFinney comments on Little Johny Bayesian - Less Wrong

12 Post author: Darmani 18 March 2009 09:30PM

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Comment author: HalFinney 18 March 2009 10:29:59PM 4 points [-]

Not clear to me what the moral is here. Sounds like it's supposed to be, don't believe everything you hear. But then at the end, he doesn't figure that out for himself, he has to be told it. So should he believe everyone when they explain the lesson?

Or maybe this is a majoritarian tail, the the point is that the majority is right, while individuals who made those specific claims, about features and flying and such, were wrong?

Comment author: Darmani 18 March 2009 10:50:11PM 6 points [-]

Who says there's a moral?

Well, there's multiple, actually, although my original target was just confirmation bias. But, if you insist on purely viewing it through the individualist/majoritarian lens, that's hardly an accurate characterization, considering the sources were an antagonistic figure, television, and someone in idle chatter. And the last line is an affirmation of individualism, and an example of the idea that statements have a truth outside of their intended use; Johny uses it to reject status-seeking behavior and devalues the opinion of the people who taught him it.