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RobinZ comments on Luminosity (Twilight Fanfic) Discussion Thread 3 - Less Wrong

10 Post author: Alicorn 30 December 2010 02:37PM

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Comment author: RobinZ 23 March 2011 05:12:42AM 2 points [-]

Plotbunny that recently occurred to me: would the new murder-free regime cause a statistically-significant drop in the murder rate? I gather there are several thousand vampires who eat ... how many humans a week? Might not be visible on the level of statistics for cities or states, but someone looking at worldwide statistics might notice the sudden change.

Comment author: Alicorn 23 March 2011 01:58:17PM 3 points [-]

Vampires tend to eat a person or two every week or two. Ones who eat more than that have historically experienced shorter lifespans - they are more likely to slip up in a way that gets Volturi attention. The new regime will probably cause a statistically significant drop in the death rate, although probably not the recorded murder rate, as it's been widely considered unwise by the vampire community to leave evidence of murder instead of simply disappearance.

Comment author: RobinZ 23 March 2011 02:00:46PM 1 point [-]

Right - the relevant statistic would be missing persons, not murder. So, probably on the order of hundreds of thousands worldwide, with a few hotspots like Volterra which would have significant local changes.

Comment author: Alicorn 23 March 2011 02:15:40PM 2 points [-]

During the Volturi reign hunting was illegal within Volterra itself, and Heidi spread out her harvesting.

Comment author: RobinZ 23 March 2011 03:15:11PM 3 points [-]

Mmhm - that makes sense.

Okay, checking Wikipedia, we have 834,536 missing persons entries in the United States in 2005, with the US composing 4.5% of the world population. If we guessed 200,000 worldwide, vampire-related fatalities could be as much as 1% of the total.

Comment author: Alicorn 23 March 2011 03:18:24PM 3 points [-]

How many of those 834,536 people were eventually found?

Comment author: RobinZ 23 March 2011 03:54:43PM 2 points [-]

Article claims 109,531 open files at the end of the year. Relative to that number, vampire-related fatalities would be 9%.