paulfchristiano comments on Choose To Be Happy - Less Wrong
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Then thats how it is.
However, when someone reevaluates a long-held position, even one which was developed and maintained for manifestly irrational reasons, they are still extremely unlikely to change their mind. If someone claims to have evaluated such a position thoroughly, it is generally a good bet that they stopped thinking once they found a good enough justification of their previous belief, before there was any real risk of changing their mind. This is a central topic in the sequences.
Of course this is a bet, not a certainty. I don't mean to be harsh, but you should seriously consider the possibility that your argument is a rationalization. orthonormal's comment is probably more helpful to this end.