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AdeleneDawner comments on Working hurts less than procrastinating, we fear the twinge of starting - Less Wrong
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Comments (138)
If you currently deem it optimal to defer work, and the factors you deem relevant to this decision do not change, you will also deem it optimal to defer work, at each decision point, for the rest of the future.
If you do not deem perpetual deferral of work to be optimal, then consistency requires that you similarly deem your current deferral of the work to be suboptimal, and any differential appraisal of these two outcomes indicates an exploitable dynamic inconsistency.
Humans, and 'the factors we deem relevant to that decision', are complicated enough that such things change pretty regularly - sometimes on a moment to moment basis.
This post is, among other things, an attempt to make one of the causes of such changes apparent, so that a particular class of changes can be accurately predicted.
It's probably not useful to you, at least in the way that Eliezer intended it to be useful, because your mind probably doesn't work that way. It's still useful to some significant portion of the rest of us.
A fair point, but: