srdiamond comments on Working hurts less than procrastinating, we fear the twinge of starting - Less Wrong

142 Post author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 02 January 2011 12:15AM

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Comment author: Clippy 02 January 2011 04:00:14AM *  6 points [-]

If you currently deem it optimal to defer work, and the factors you deem relevant to this decision do not change, you will also deem it optimal to defer work, at each decision point, for the rest of the future.

If you do not deem perpetual deferral of work to be optimal, then consistency requires that you similarly deem your current deferral of the work to be suboptimal, and any differential appraisal of these two outcomes indicates an exploitable dynamic inconsistency.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 January 2011 05:36:21AM 0 points [-]
  1. There's bound to be some amount of random variation in the strength of the relevant factors.

  2. There may be systematic changes in the factors relevant to the decision—depending on the factors. Your preparation may change. The approach of a deadline changes things a lot.