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epo comments on Working hurts less than procrastinating, we fear the twinge of starting - Less Wrong
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Comments (138)
That exploit works against a hyperbolic discounter who today wants to work tomorrow, but tomorrow doesn't want to work today.
It doesn't work against Clippy's example of an exponential discounter who doesn't want to work today and knows that tomorrow he still won't want to work today, but still claims to want to work someday, even though he can't say when.
Our agent cannot reason from "I want to work someday" to "There exists a day in the finitely distant future when I will want to work". He is missing some kind of reverse induction axiom. We agree that there is something wrong with this agent's thinking.
But, I don't see how to exploit that flaw.
Correct, I'm wrong.
It seems like "I want to work someday" is almost not the kind of statement we should use in describing people's desires at all. It doesn't actually say anything about how you'd respond to any choices. If it did you could find a way to dutchbook.
I think you are partially correct in that the problem is ambiguous with respect to some deciding factors -- specfically, the agent's inferential capabilities -- and that there are disambiguations that make your method work. See my reply to User:Perplexed.
100% agreement.