Miller comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong
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Prediction request for emergence of usable (commercial grade or easy DIY) eyewear computing of this sort
http://www.lumus-optical.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=9&Itemid=15
http://blog.2yb.org/2010/07/cd-case-wearable-computer.html
Please feel free to state your distributions beyond 2011
This is one of the predictions I would include in my list for key trends over the span of this decade (rather than year). I might in weaker moments also conjunction fallacy it as an Apple product. I think there are some prereqs that still need to be addressed at this point including further maturation of mobile apps, some addressing of social acceptance of life tracking-style media recording, battery life, etc. So yeah.. S curve cumulative probability hitting 50% around 2020 that these achieve iPod like sales figures.
Agreed, including the Apple conjunction fallacy.