Skatche comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong

10 Post author: Kevin 02 January 2011 09:58AM

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Comment author: Skatche 03 January 2011 03:18:21AM 2 points [-]

Continuing riots in major European cities over the imposition of austerity measures: 80%. There have been four such riots in the past six months - in Paris, London, Rome and Athens - and there have been vows of more to come, so this seems pretty likely.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 03 January 2011 06:38:51AM *  6 points [-]

80% seems way underconfident.

Comment author: gwern 28 August 2012 01:49:10AM 0 points [-]

Update?

Comment author: gwern 10 January 2011 11:38:54PM 0 points [-]