= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
rahul comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (224)
95% confident that we will be no closer to knowing if P equals NP a decade down the line.
This is too imprecise for me to know what you're asserting. I would guess that if we ask, say, Scott Aaronson in 2021 whether we are any closer to knowing if P equals NP than we were in 2011, he will say "yes".
"No closer" may not be the ideal choice of words.As it stands your prediction would be invalidated every time someone publishes a paper demonstrating a technique that doesn't hep solve P ?= NP. That is one less dead end to explore...
If this is made more precise in a way similar to how cyphergoth has done so, I'd be willing to bet a lot against that claim.