As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!
Is this year or decade?
All three seem ridiculously high for next year, once vagueness is corrected.
This year.
Why do you think they're too high?
As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!