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taw comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong
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Comments (224)
California will implement austerity measures similar to the ones currently being implemented by European countries: 80%.
The bubble underlying the current Chinese boom will collapse: 35%.
Some European country will abandon the Euro: 20%.
Is this year or decade?
All three seem ridiculously high for next year, once vagueness is corrected.
This year.
Why do you think they're too high?