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mwengler comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong
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I upvoted because I hope it settles at 0 points, making your whole comment look merely silly. I think the chances of that happening are ~11.293%
I would place the probability lower than that. -11 is a long way to come back from when the comment has already faded into history. Even if my upvote just moved it to -10 for the same reason. :)