gwern comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong

10 Post author: Kevin 02 January 2011 09:58AM

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Comment author: gwern 06 January 2011 10:15:26PM 0 points [-]

For predictions further out, I'm betting that in five years, some of the big things will be optical interconnects, networks-on-chip, mainstream GPGPU, 3D chips, and solid state drives. SSDs are already a safe bet; the rest is more speculative.

I'd put these on PB (and give optical interconnects a low prediction since it feels like I've been reading about them forever), if you could operationalize them/make objective & judgeable.