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Costanza comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong
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That would be a prediction, specifically applied to what the federal government will do or not do during 2011.
With that said, I'd say human motivations are complicated. I could foresee, for instance the following motivations for leaving the military:
Enlisted infantryman:
[Subjective motivation]: I have failed ranger school in an embarrassing fashion.
[Declared motivation for leaving the army]: A bunch of fags are running the show now.
Infantry officer:
[Subjective motivation]: A bunch of fags are running the show now.
[Declared motivation]: I now wish to serve my country by pursuing public office.