A major church figure will face allegations of child abuse.
Europeans will riot over reductions in social programs.
A vague new terrorist threat will lead to increased security procedures at American airports.
A conservative talk show host in America will openly endorse murder of atheists, homosexuals, or immigrants.
Video of a pop star engaged in sexual acts will be leaked to the public.
A b-list celebrity will die unexpectedly; CNN will declare this a national tragedy.
A natural disaster will strike a third world country, causing everyone to completely forget about Haiti once again.
Literally dozens of Americans, many of whom are on social security or medicare, will protest government social programs in America as socialism.
North Korea will say or do something crazy.
So will Mel Gibson.
Stores will sell out of the newest overpriced shiny Apple gadget on release day.
The sun will rise each day except in areas above 66 degrees latitude.
All of these I think I can safely predict with 95% confidence. They aren't the most earth shattering, but I'm rational enough to know my predictive limits.
These all sound somehow familiar... ;)
As we did last year, use this thread to make predictions for the next year and next decade, with probabilities attached when practical.
Happy New Year, Less Wrong!