CronoDAS comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong

10 Post author: Kevin 02 January 2011 09:58AM

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Comment author: CronoDAS 08 January 2011 06:34:06AM 4 points [-]

My 96-year-old grandmother survives another year: 67%

Dead wrong on this one. She died a few hours ago.

Comment author: gwern 08 January 2011 06:14:18PM 2 points [-]

I was going to ask why you gave death such a low probability, but when I went to look at what the mortality rates actually said for a 96 year old female, I found that many don't even go that high: http://www.deathriskrankings.com/MortStats.aspx

Huh.

Comment author: Alicorn 08 January 2011 12:32:03PM 2 points [-]

*hugs*

Comment author: Vaniver 08 January 2011 06:56:53AM 1 point [-]

D: I'm sorry to hear that. Are you doing ok?

Comment author: CronoDAS 08 January 2011 07:07:20AM 2 points [-]

Yeah, so far. She had been mostly gone for quite a while, so...

Comment author: Kutta 08 January 2011 05:08:13PM 0 points [-]

This one and Alzheimer's greatly bother me because they are cryonics-resistant.

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