gwern comments on New Year's Predictions Thread (2011) - Less Wrong

10 Post author: Kevin 02 January 2011 09:58AM

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Comment author: gwern 10 January 2011 11:31:01PM 0 points [-]
  1. too vague
  2. What does a Chinese bubble collapse look like? Suggested operationalizations: Shanghai or Hong Kong Stock Exchange prices, GDP growth
  3. effective dupe of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1374 or http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2031