Nebu comments on Counterfactual Mugging - Less Wrong
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Comments (258)
There's no need to break causality. You are a being implemented in chaotic wetware. However, there's no reason to think we couldn't have rational agents implemented in much more predictable form, as python routines for example, so that any being with superior computation power could simply inspect the source and determine what the output would be.
In such a case, Newcomb-like problems would arise, perfectly lawfully, under normal physics.
Whaddaya mean humans are rational agents with access to genuine randomness? That's what we're arguing about in the first place!
Perhaps Omega is entangled with your brain such that in all the worlds in which you would choose to one-box, he would predict that you one-box, and all the worlds in which you would choose to two-box, he would predict that you two-box?
In the original formulation, if Omega expects you to flip a coin, he leaves box B empty.