thrawnca comments on Counterfactual Mugging - Less Wrong
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If you're not willing to "take one for the team" of superyous, I'm not sure you understand the implications of "every implementation of you is you."
It does solve the problem, though, because it's a consistent way to formalize the decision so that on average for things like this you are winning.
I think you're missing the point here. Winning in this case is doing the thing that on average nets you the most success for problems of this class, one single instance of it notwithstanding.
And this explains why you're missing the point. We are told no such thing. We are told it's a fair coin and that can only mean that if you divide up worlds by their probability density, you win in half of them. This is defined.
What seems to be confusing you is that you're told "in this particular problem, for the sake of argument, assume you're in one of the worlds where you lose." It states nothing about those worlds being over represented.
No, take another look: