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XiXiDu comments on A Bayesian Argument for the Resurrection of Jesus - Less Wrong
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The link to the bibliography on Bayesian reasoning is dead for me :-(
ETA: Google cache.
ETA #2: While looking for that link I came across this paper by the above mentioned Richard Carrier: “Bayes’ Theorem for Beginners: Formal Logic and Its Relevance to Historical Method — Adjunct Materials and Tutorial”
Some theists are mocking the Carrier article's mistakes over here.
Hmm, having read that comments thread I now need to worry that Carrier's prior tutorial on Bayes's theorem might have egregious errors. There are a lot of basic probability errors outlined in that thread.