JoshuaZ comments on A Bayesian Argument for the Resurrection of Jesus - Less Wrong
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Comments (39)
Is there some joke I'm missing? P(Moon made out of cheese|Jesus is a historical figure) is still very very low.
It's just a joke about gullibility, at least that's how I read it.
Oh, I thought it was an attempt to apply some sort of (nonexistent) analog of the principle of explosion...
Actually straightforward explosion works. "The moon is probably made out of cheese" can be taken as a statement in propositional logic.