AnnaSalamon comments on Branches of rationality - Less Wrong
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A good point. I wonder who does have that knowledge?
John Boyd's concept of OODA loop seems to be relevant here:
OODA stands for:
To put this into rationality-language:
The concept itself, as described on Wikipedia, doesn't mention groups per se, but Boyd's work on OODA seems to include specific thoughts on groups. Here's a related quote from Wikipedia:
Thanks, rationality skill discovered!
Good question. I think the first place I'd look is business, followed by the military (probably at more the strategic than the tactical level). There's probably also some institutional wisdom floating around in academia, although I'm not sure what fields I'd look at first; most of the research I've personally been involved in didn't involve much distribution of decision-making between team members and thus was something of a degenerate case.
A short list for prediction making of groups (and via extension decision making):