Nick_Tarleton comments on Accuracy Versus Winning - Less Wrong

12 Post author: John_Maxwell_IV 02 April 2009 04:47AM

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Comment author: Nick_Tarleton 03 April 2009 02:03:05AM 1 point [-]

"Beware lest you become attached to beliefs you may not want."

"Surrender to the truth as quickly as you can."

AFAICT, this means to seek disconfirming evidence, and update if and when you find it. Nothing to do with confidence.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 03 April 2009 04:58:41AM *  3 points [-]

Disconfirming evidence makes you less confident that your original beliefs were true.

Comment author: Nick_Tarleton 04 April 2009 07:21:07AM 1 point [-]

If you find it; though this is nitpicking, as the net effect usually will be as you say. Still, this is completely different from the unconditional injunction to be less confident that the post suggests.