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Jordan comments on Science: Do It Yourself - Less Wrong
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I would certainly consider that positive evidence, but it's not knock out evidence. It's not even 90% confidence evidence, in my opinion. The data is just too noisy to draw high confidence conclusions after only a handful of years.
The IPCC must agree with you that that's not 90% confidence evidence, because there's a whole heck of a lot more evidence and they (well, several years ago) only gave human-caused global warming 95% certainty.
That's just a good example of a prediction, compared to all the inference from physics and historical data.