Nisan comments on Counterfactual Calculation and Observational Knowledge - Less Wrong

11 Post author: Vladimir_Nesov 31 January 2011 04:28PM

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Comment author: shokwave 31 January 2011 06:11:40PM * 2 points [-]

Q is most likely even,

Derived from the likelihood of the calculator being in error

so in the counterfactual the calculator is most likely in error,

You can't conclude this - think about what evidence you have that the calculator is in error!

Comment author: Nisan 31 January 2011 06:49:02PM 0 points [-]

Oh, you're right. I see.