lukstafi comments on Counterfactual Calculation and Observational Knowledge - Less Wrong

11 Post author: Vladimir_Nesov 31 January 2011 04:28PM

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Comment author: shokwave 31 January 2011 06:11:40PM *  2 points [-]

Q is most likely even,

Derived from the likelihood of the calculator being in error

so in the counterfactual the calculator is most likely in error,

You can't conclude this - think about what evidence you have that the calculator is in error!

Comment author: lukstafi 31 January 2011 07:53:18PM *  0 points [-]

You can't conclude this - think about what evidence you have that the calculator is in error!

You can't conclude this, but for a different reason: changing the value on the display means changing Omega. You cannot have the same Omega and a different value of the same process. (ETA: and calling the name of Everett does not affect my reasoning here ETA2 meaning that I don't think Q is most likely even in the counterfactual universe.)