shokwave comments on Counterfactual Calculation and Observational Knowledge - Less Wrong
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In what way, if any, is this problem importantly different from the following "less mathy" problem?
It is no different, as far as I can tell. You can't go from the coin landed the same as it did in your world to only considering worlds where the coin is heads - which is the premise you need if you want to conclude that this is the 1% case of scanner going wrong.