nshepperd comments on Counterfactual Calculation and Observational Knowledge - Less Wrong
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What does it even mean to write an answer on a counterfactual test sheet?
Is it correct to to interpret this as "if-counterfactual the calculator had showed odd, Omega would have shown up and (somehow knowing what choice you would have made in the "even" world) altered the test answer as you specify"?
Viewing this problem from before you use the calculator, your distribution is P(even) = P(odd) = 0.5. There are various rules Omega could be playing by:
Finding a prior on these possibilities is left to the reader.
Yes.